Who’s going to win Eurobasket 2025?

EuroBasket 2025 is entering its most exciting phase with the start of the Round of 16. After a group stage full of surprises, including the shocking elimination of defending champions Spain, top contenders like Germany, Turkey, and Serbia have reaffirmed their dominance, while surprise teams and potential outsiders are ready to make their mark. Every game now carries huge stakes, with teams fighting not only for victory but also for a spot in the quarterfinals and the path to a new European champion.

Germany
World champions Germany once again proved why they are among Europe’s elite, finishing first in Group B with a perfect record. Led by the dynamic duo of Dennis Schröder and Franz Wagner, and with coach Álex Mumbrú expected to return soon from his recent health scare, Germany posted the highest scoring average of the group stage. Their dominance firmly places them at #1 in the official power rankings.

Turkey
Turkey has been one of the most impressive stories of EuroBasket 2025, capturing the top spot in Group A with a statement win over Serbia. Alperen Şengün continues to establish himself as the team’s cornerstone, supported by a deep and committed roster. No longer just dark horses, Turkey have cemented themselves as genuine contenders and rank #2 in the power rankings.

Serbia
Led by three-time NBA MVP Nikola Jokić, Serbia managed a second-place finish in Group A despite suffering a setback against Turkey. The loss of Bogdan Bogdanović to injury adds challenges, but Serbia’s depth and star power remain formidable. Jokić’s presence in the paint keeps them a serious threat to win the tournament. They hold #3 in the power rankings heading into the knockout stage.

Greece
Greece topped Group C with Giannis Antetokounmpo powering their success, including the victory that eliminated Spain from the tournament. With Giannis in elite form and a cohesive supporting cast, Greece is considered one of the strongest teams moving forward and is ranked #4.

France
France claimed first place in Group D, earning success through exceptional depth and team cohesion. Under the guidance of newly appointed head coach Frédéric Fauthoux—who took over after Vincent Collet stepped down—France has shown they remain dangerous, even with several key absences. They are currently #5 in the power rankings.

Potential Outsiders: Lithuania, Latvia, and Italy
The Baltic duo of Lithuania and Latvia, along with Italy, are teams capable of producing upsets in the knockout rounds. Lithuania, despite losing Domantas Sabonis and Rokas Jokubaitis, relied on Jonas Valančiūnas and a resilient roster to finish second in Group B. Latvia finished third in Group A, led by Kristaps Porziņģis and the Bertans brothers, with strong home support giving them an edge. Italy, under head coach Gianmarco Pozzecco, finished second in Group C behind Greece, showing competitiveness and tactical discipline, making them a team to watch. In the power rankings, Italy is #6, Lithuania #7, and Latvia #8.

Dark Horses: Slovenia and Poland
Two other underdog teams have also drawn attention. Luka Dončić led Slovenia to third place in Group D with a decisive win over Israel, showing his ability to take over games single-handedly. Poland surprised many by finishing second in Group D, earning a chance for a historic run to the quarterfinals against Bosnia. Slovenia is ranked #10, while Poland holds #9 in the power rankings.

New Champs
Defending champions Spain suffered a shocking group-stage exit after losing to Greece in their final match. In what was Sergio Scariolo’s farewell tournament, the young roster could not live up to the legacy of the golden generation—a new European champion will be crowned following Spain’s early exit.

In conclusion, EuroBasket 2025 is shaping up to be a tournament full of intensity and surprises, with favorites, outsiders, and dark horses ready to make their mark. As the knockout rounds progress, every game will be crucial in determining who will be crowned the new European champion.

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