This article provides a full preview of Greece versus Spain, including our top value betting prediction. The match tips off on 4 September 2025 at 20:30 CET and is decisive for Group C, with Greece fighting for first place and Spain in danger of elimination.
🏀 Prediction: Greece -6.5 Handicap @1.72
Spain couldn’t get past Italy in the fourth round of EuroBasket despite a brilliant start. The Italians needed nearly seven minutes to score their first points with 0:13 start for Spain, yet eventually celebrated a 67-63 win. Spain’s defense wasn’t the issue – it was their offense that collapsed. They lack a good point guard who can create for others.

The Hernangómez brothers struggled badly. Willy missed all of his attempts near the rim, while Juancho went cold from deep. Between them, they combined for eight missed field goals and just a single point. That Spain stayed competitive until the end was largely thanks to Santi Aldama, who posted 19 points and 10 rebounds, and Sergio De Larrea, who added 15. Still, against Greece, Spain will need contributions from all their players.
Greece, meanwhile, suffered a shock 80-77 defeat to Bosnia and Herzegovina on Tuesday. Spanoulis’ side led 34-21 midway through the second quarter before conceding an 18-0 run, and they never regained control. Giannis Antetokounmpo was rested with knee discomfort, but Spanoulis confirmed he will return for Thursday’s crucial game.
The stakes are enormous for Greece: a win secures first place in the group, while a loss could drop them to fourth, complicating their knockout path. Spain has historically been their nemesis, eliminating them multiple times in the 21st century, holding an 8-1 record in major tournaments. That bitter history only adds fuel for Giannis and company, especially now that Greece finally has perimeter firepower with Kostas Sloukas, Tyler Dorsey, Dinos Mitoglou, and Kostas Papanikolaou.
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This will be the 10th meeting between these nations in major tournaments this century, and Greece finally has the tools to flip the script. Motivation will not be lacking, and their quality should shine through. Expect Greece to make a statement, potentially sending Spain out of the Eurobasket if Bosnia beats Georgia earlier in the day.
❗This prediction is for guidance only, and we are not responsible for your bets.
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