Portugal vs Latvia Prediction and Betting Tips – EuroBasket 2025

This article provides a full preview of Latvia versus Portugal, including our top value betting prediction. The match tips off on 1 September 2025 at 20:30 (CET) in Riga, Latvia, and it promises to be an important Group A battle with both teams desperate to strengthen their positions for the round of 16.

🏀 Prediction: Neemias Queta Over 8.5 Rebounds @1.9

The game will once again take place at the Xiaomi Arena in Riga, where Latvia already showed their resilience in front of a loud home crowd. They are coming off a hard-fought 72-70 victory against Estonia, a game where Kristaps Porzingis took over late with 26 points and proved why he is the leader of this team. Latvia had to grind it out for 40 minutes, but the win gives them momentum and belief heading into this clash.

Portugal, meanwhile, suffered one of the toughest defeats of the tournament so far, losing 95-54 against Turkey. The Portuguese team looked completely outmatched in every area – defensively overpowered in the paint and offensively unable to establish rhythm. Still, the one bright spot was Neemias Queta, who continues to show his value as a rebounding anchor and physical presence inside.

• Latvia will miss a lot of outside shots: With Porzingis and Bertāns stretching the floor, Latvia relies heavily on perimeter shooting. This naturally creates long rebounds and plenty of opportunities for Queta to clean up.
• Portugal’s offense runs through him defensively: Even in the blowout loss to Turkey, Queta was still the main factor on the boards, pulling down rebounds against elite frontcourt players. His minutes are secure because Portugal lacks size beyond him.
• Latvia not a dominant rebounding team: While Porzingis is a great rim protector and scorer, rebounding is not his strongest area, and Latvia has struggled at times to secure defensive boards. This gives Queta plenty of chances to hit double figures.
• Portugal’s journey has been reliant on Neemias Queta. His performance against Czechia was historic, and even in the loss Turkey he remained a rebound anchor. Knowing he’s averaging well above 8.5 rebounds – led by an 18-rebound performance that ranks top tournament-wide – makes backing Queta Over 8.5 Rebounds the clearest value play.

This game might stay competitive in the opening minutes, but Latvia’s superior depth and scoring should eventually separate them. Still, even if Portugal loses, Queta’s rebounding numbers are matchup-proof he will be on the floor and fighting for every board.

For fans looking to add more excitement, betting at the best betting sites is always an option.

❗This prediction is for guidance only, and we are not responsible for your bets.