This article provides a preview of the Lithuania vs Latvia matchup on Saturday, 6 September 17:30 CET including our top value betting prediction. The EuroBasket 2025 Round of 16 is set for an exciting clash between Lithuania and Latvia, and with the growing strength of the Latvian team and Lithuania’s injury woes, the prediction is for Latvia to cover the -3.5 handicap.
🏀 Prediction: Latvia -3.5 Handicap @1.7
Lithuania had a solid group-stage performance, finishing second with four wins and one loss, their only defeat coming at the hands of Germany. However, Lithuania enters this knockout round with several injury concerns. Rokas Jokubaitis, their star player in the tournament, suffered a severe knee injury earlier in the competition, leaving a significant void in their rotation.
The loss of a player of Jokubaitis’ caliber is hard to overcome, especially considering the other injuries to key players like Margiris Normantas, who played only three minutes in their last game.

Head coach Rimas Kurtinaitis has been forced to shorten the rotation, and without their best player and some of their usual contributors, Lithuania will find it difficult to keep up with Latvia’s improving form.
On the other hand, Latvia has shown great progress as the tournament has unfolded. After an inconsistent start with losses to Turkey and Serbia, they rebounded strongly with wins over Estonia, Portugal, and the Czech Republic.
Their dominant 109-75 win against the Czech Republic was particularly impressive, with key players like Davis Bertans, Dairis Bertans, Kristaps Porzingis, and Rolands Smits all making significant contributions. With such a well-rounded and deep squad, Latvia is gaining momentum and will benefit from playing on their home court in Riga.
Given the injuries that Lithuania is dealing with and Latvia’s home advantage, the prediction is that Latvia will secure a comfortable win and cover the -3.5 handicap. Therefore we recommend checking out best betting sites to get bonuses on first deposit and place the bet with the best odds.
❗This prediction is for guidance only, and we are not responsible for your bets.
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