Lithuania and Germany meet on August 30 in EuroBasket 2025, and this prediction looks at how both teams arrive after very strong start in the tournament. This sets the stage for an intriguing clash which could be one of the most exciting matches of the tournament.
🏀 Prediction: Over 170.5 Points @1.90
Lithuania has made a spectacular start to EuroBasket 2025 and their early dominance is sending a clear message to the rest of the field. They opened their campaign with a 94 to 70 victory over Great Britain, completely controlling the boards and setting a new tournament record with 57 rebounds. Jonas Valančiūnas led the way with 18 points and 9 rebounds while Ąžuolas Tubelis scored 17 and Rokas Jokubaitis added 12 points, 6 assists, and 5 rebounds.
If the first game was about rebounding dominance, the second was about passing excellence. Lithuania dismantled Montenegro 94 to 67 and we were spot on with our prediction for this match. The set another EuroBasket record with 35 assists, surpassing Yugoslavia’s 33 from 2001. Valančiūnas and Jokubaitis led Lithuania again scoring 35 points together in the first half, more than the entire Montenegro squad (28).

Germany has also had an impressive start to their EuroBasket campaign, securing convincing wins over Montenegro and Sweden. Franz Wagner has been their standout performer, while Dennis Schröder continues to be essential as a playmaker. Both are averaging 22 points per game and are extremely difficult to contain. Germany also boasts reliable shooters across all positions, with Andreas Obst hitting 5 of 6 three-pointers in the opener, and players like Theis, Voigtmann, and Bonga consistently knocking down spot-up shots created by Schröder.
All eyes in this game for Lithuania will be on Jonas Valančiūnas and Rokas Jokubaitis, whose pick and roll is the foundation of Lithuania’s offense. Much will depend on whether Lithuania’s role players can consistently knock down shots when the defense collapses. Germany will try to pressure Jokubaitis and deny Valančiūnas easy touches, which could open up shooting opportunities.
Germany will push the tempo at every chance and thrive in fast paced basketball. They have players who love to run the floor – Alex Mumbrú implemented this kind of basketball but is not with the team due to sickness. Germany persistently continue to attack in transition every possession. When Franz Wagner leads the break, he looks unstoppable.
These contrasting strengths set the stage for an intriguing clash. Lithuania comes in confident with dominance inside and fluidity on the perimeter, while Germany has talent but must sustain it under pressure. Both teams favor high tempo play, making a shootout likely.
Lithuania’s inside-out balance, Germany’s relentless fast breaks, and the brilliance of Valančiūnas, Jokubaitis, Schröder and Wagner suggest this could be one of the highest scoring games of the group stage. If Lithuania’s role players support from the perimeter and Germany pushes the tempo, the total line should be surpassed. This matchup could be one of the most entertaining games of the tournament so far. For fans looking to make the game even more thrilling, placing a bet at the best betting sites is a must.
❗This prediction is for guidance only, and we are not responsible for your bets.
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