Latvia vs Serbia Prediction and Betting Tips – EuroBasket 2025

Serbia (2–0) faces Latvia (1–1) in a crucial Group A game at EuroBasket 2025 on August 30 in Riga. Both teams enter this matchup with different trajectories: Serbia dominated their first two games, including a 98–64 dismantling of Estonia, while Latvia fell 93–73 to Turkey before narrowly escaping Estonia 72–70. The duel of Nikola Jokić and Kristaps Porzingis makes this one of the most anticipated showdowns so far.

🏀 Prediction: Under 171 Points @1.85

Serbia have looked like a complete team through two rounds, combining size, skill, and unselfish play. Against Estonia, they dished out 32 assists, while Nikola Jović led the way with 26 points and Jokić nearly produced a triple-double. Even when Bogdan Bogdanović went down injured and Filip Petrušev was ejected against Portugal, Serbia still had enough depth to comfortably win.

Latvia, meanwhile, are still searching for rhythm. The 20-point loss to Turkey exposed their reliance on Porzingis and Dāvis Bertāns for scoring, with little consistent support from the supporting cast. They were competitive in stretches, but struggled with physicality and gave up control in every quarter. Their bounce-back win over Estonia showed resilience, with Porzingis scoring 26 points and Žagars stepping up late, but overall offensive balance remains a concern and we were spot on with our prediction that Estonia will keep it close.

The battle between Jokić and Porzingis will define the tone, but Serbia’s roster balance is a major advantage. With multiple creators, efficient scorers, and a bench that contributes on both ends, Svetislav Pešić’s squad has more ways to win. Latvia will hope their home crowd lifts them, but without sustained production beyond Porzingis and Žagars, they may struggle to keep pace over four quarters.

Serbia have scored 178 points across two games while conceding just 132, and their ability to dictate tempo with passing and half-court execution makes them extremely hard to disrupt. Latvia average just 72 points per game, often depending on individual runs rather than team structure. This points to a slower, more controlled game where Serbia’s size and discipline limit Latvia’s scoring bursts.

The best value bet looks to be under 171 points at odds around 1.85. Serbia’s defensive control and Latvia’s streaky offense suggest the game won’t turn into a high-scoring shootout. Expect Serbia to eventually pull away with methodical execution, while Latvia’s stars try to keep the score respectable. Therefore we recommend checking out best betting sites to get bonuses on first deposit and place the bet with the best odds.

❗This prediction is for guidance only, and we are not responsible for your bets.