France vs Iceland Prediction and Betting Tips – EuroBasket 2025

This article provides a preview of the France vs Iceland matchup, highlighting our top player prop betting prediction. The game tips off on 4 September 2025 at 14:00 CET, with France looking to secure the best possible group position and Iceland still chasing their first-ever EuroBasket win.

🏀 Prediction: Tryggvi Hlinason Points Total Over 11.5

France, despite internal problems and a surprising setback, have still managed to stay in a strong position. Their unexpected loss to Israel was a blow, but they responded by edging Poland thanks to Guerschon Yabusele’s heroics. That puts them at 3-1, level with Israel and Poland in the standings.

Just before the Poland game, it was confirmed that Alex Sarr would miss the rest of the tournament due to injury, meaning France desperately needed someone else to step up in the frontcourt. Yabusele answered the call with a dominant 36-point display, but the backcourt remains inconsistent, falling well short of expectations. The clash against Iceland could be the perfect chance for Elie Okobo, Sylvain Francisco, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot, Zaccharie Risacher, and Theo Maledon to finally find rhythm, after combining for a dreadful 8-of-29 shooting against Poland.

Iceland, meanwhile, are still chasing their first-ever EuroBasket win. They’ve dropped all four games so far and sit bottom of Group D with an 0-4 record, already eliminated from knockout contention. Losses to Israel, Belgium, Poland, and Slovenia followed a similar pattern: competitive stretches, but no consistency to sustain a full game. The lack of overall roster quality has also been evident.

Against Israel, they were right there at halftime despite Martin Hermannsson going 1-for-10, but faded later. Against Belgium, they blew their best chance. Against Poland, they staged a huge rally, turning a double-digit deficit into a 73-70 lead late in the fourth quarter, only to let it slip.

Even versus Slovenia, they answered a poor third quarter with an 11-0 run in the fourth but failed to capitalize. Iceland has scored above 75 points only once (against Slovenia) and overall their shooting has been one of the weakest in the tournament. Their main attacking goes through their main center Tryggvi Hlinason. And we recommend checking out the value on his points total over 11.5.

1. Tournament Averages: Iceland’s anchor in the paint, Tryggvi Hlinason, is averaging 16.3 points per game at EuroBasket 2025, well above this betting line. He’s already dropped 20 points vs Belgium and 21 against Poland, showing he can handle quality opposition.
2. Efficiency Inside: Hlinason is shooting an elite 75% from the field, one of the highest marks in the entire tournament. His size and positioning allow him to finish consistently at the rim, and France’s defense, while strong, has struggled at times against dominant bigs.
3. Usage and Reliability: Iceland’s offense runs through Hlinason. He leads the tournament in rebounding with 12 per game, which not only fuels second-chance scoring but also ensures he stays heavily involved in every possession.

Even if Iceland struggles overall, Hlinason’s scoring opportunities will remain steady, given his central role and efficiency. Clearing 11.5 points looks well within reach. Therefore we recommend checking out best betting sites to get bonuses on first deposit and place the bet with the best odds.

❗This prediction is for guidance only, and we are not responsible for your bets.