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Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao prediction Champions League 2025-10-01

Signal Iduna Park hosts an attack-minded Borussia Dortmund against a more defensive Athletic Bilbao. Dortmund’s home form has been authoritative in recent weeks – 1-0 vs Wolfsburg, 3-0 vs Union Berlin, 4-0 vs Heidenheim – and the 4-4 with Juventus underlined their ability to create in volume even in chaotic games.

Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao prediction

⚽Pick: Borussia Dortmund win @1.80

Athletic arrive on a rougher stretch, with defeats to Arsenal 0-2 and Valencia 0-2 plus a 0-1 loss to Alavés, and a 1-1 draw with Girona. Their away approach tends to be compact and lower tempo, which can limit chance creation.

That profile usually suits Dortmund at home, where their press pins opponents for long spells and set pieces add an extra path to goal.

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From a game-flow perspective, Dortmund’s wide play and second-phase pressure should generate sustained territory, while Athletic’s recent scoring dip makes it harder to punish transitions.

In a match that may be low to moderate in total goals, Dortmund have the greater individual quality in the final third and multiple ways to edge the result, making 1.80 a reasonable price for the home win.

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