Serie A Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction (22-11-2025)

Fiorentina return to Stadio Artemio Franchi still searching for their first league win of the season, while Juventus travel to Florence looking to build on a steady run under new head coach Luciano Spalletti.

⚽   Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction: Juventus to win @ 2.10

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Fiorentina’s struggles have continued even after Paolo Vanoli’s appointment. The 2-2 draw against Genoa stopped the losing streak, but their overall performances remain weak: winless in 11 Serie A matches, four home defeats from five, and ongoing issues in midfield balance and defensive transitions. Creating chances is difficult, finishing them is even harder, and confidence is clearly low throughout the squad.

Their structural issues are clear in the data. Fiorentina have trailed at half-time in a league-high four home matches, and they’ve conceded six first-half goals at home, the joint-worst figure in the league. These slow starts frequently put them in situations where they must take risks, and that only exposes their defensive vulnerabilities even more.

Offensively, they rely heavily on moments rather than patterns. The 2-2 draw against Genoa showed individual flashes, but the collective organisation is still lacking, and they struggle to sustain pressure or control matches against more composed sides.

Juventus aren’t dominating the league, but they look far more structured since Spalletti arrived. Three matches unbeaten under his guidance have brought organisation, calmer defending, and clearer spacing in midfield. Juventus still need to improve their away output, yet they arrive with better squad depth, more reliable individual quality and far fewer tactical problems than the hosts.

There is also a clear difference in match-winners. Juventus still possess players who can decide tight games like Vlahović in the box, Cambiaso’s final ball – while Fiorentina rely far more on chaotic phases or set pieces.

With Fiorentina struggling to defend their home ground and still looking disjointed in both phases, Juventus have the higher ceiling and the stronger identity heading into this fixture. The visitors should have enough to claim the points.

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