ザルギリス対フェネルバフチェ ユーロリーグ・プレーオフ予想 - 5月08日

Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul will play the second match in Kaunas on Friday for Game 4 of their EuroLeague quarterfinal series against Zalgiris, leading 2-1 after dropping a shocking 78-81 result in Game 3. Coach Sarunas Jasikevicius did not hold back after the loss, calling his team’s defensive display amateurish and far below EuroLeague standards. The Turkish powerhouse had built a 19-point lead midway through the second quarter before completely falling apart on both ends of the floor. Now they have a chance to close out the series on the road and book their ticket to the Final Four.

🏀 Zalgiris vs Fenerbahce EuroLeague Playoffs Prediction: Fenerbahce To Win @2.00

Fenerbahce spent most of the regular season at the top of the EuroLeague standings, and their defensive numbers explain why. They hold the best defensive rating in the entire competition at 111.2, and opponents shoot just 31.6% from three against them, also the best mark in the league.

Game 3 was an exception, not the rule. Wade Baldwin led the scoring with 16 points but shot 7 from 17, Devon Hall added 14 on a poor 4 from 11, and the offense completely stalled after building that massive early lead. The ball stopped moving, individual solutions took over, and Zalgiris made them pay.

Jasikevicius will have his team locked in for Game 4. Fenerbahce’s away three-point shooting ranks third in the EuroLeague at 37.7%, and they have the personnel and the system to bounce back hard on the road.

Zalgiris deserves full credit for Game 3. Azuolas Tubelis was sensational with 26 points, 6 rebounds and a 31 efficiency rating, setting a new EuroLeague career high. Nigel Williams-Goss ran the offense brilliantly with 18 points and 5 assists, and the home crowd lifted them through every crucial moment.

However, Zalgiris lost Games 1 and 2 by double digits, and both results were not even as close as the scores suggested on the court. Sylvain Francisco again shot poorly in Game 3, going 4 from 15 for 12 points, and Zalgiris will need far more consistent production from him if they want to extend this series.

They also came back from 19 down in Game 3, which is a remarkable, but as Jasikevicius mentioned Fenerbahce played like an amateur team and cannot play like that again. While Zalgiris bench is clearly struggling in this series and Masiulis cannot rotate the squad as he did in the regular season.

Fenerbahce have the best defense in the EuroLeague this season and gave up a 19-point lead in Game 3 largely through individual breakdowns that a coach of Jasikevicius’s level will address directly before Friday. They won Games 1 and 2 comfortably, by 11 and 12 points respectively, showing the true gap between these two rosters over 40 focused minutes.

Zalgiris shot 38.8% from three on the season, second best in the EuroLeague, but Fenerbahce limits opponents to just 31.6% from deep, the best defensive three-point rate in the competition. Baldwin, Hall and Horton-Tucker all underperformed their averages in Game 3 and are due for a collective bounce-back performance.

Fenerbahce’s road three-point shooting ranks third in the EuroLeague at 37.7%, giving them a clear attacking weapon even in a hostile Kaunas atmosphere. A team with this defensive pedigree and playoff experience does not drop two straight games to an opponent they dominated for the first two rounds, and at 2.00 the value is firmly on the Turkish side to close this series out.

最新の予想はこちら。.

この予想はあくまで参考です。当方では責任を負いかねます。